History Repeating? XRP Flashes Signal Last Seen | XRP News
XRP is on monitor to close its fifth consecutive month in unfavourable territory, a uncommon stretch of sustained losses that has not been seen since late 2016. Despite holding at round $1.30, the token has declined practically 30% in February alone, based on CoinGecko information, extending a broader five-month decline of roughly 50%.
XRP Flashes Pre-Bull Run Pattern
The final time XRP recorded 5 straight pink month-to-month candles was between October 2016 and February 2017. During that period, the price slipped from $0.00885 to $0.00557, a decline of 37%, earlier than discovering a backside close to $0.0055 in March 2017. By May 2017, XRP had surged to $0.3988 — a gain of 7,000% in simply two months.
After consolidating via the summer season, the token climbed again, ultimately reaching $3.31 in January 2018. From its March 2017 low, that marked a 60,000% increase.
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With XRP now following a related path, market analyst Sam Daodu examined the comparability in a new report launched on Monday.
Daodu famous that the present setup “rhymes” with the 2016–2017 construction: 5 consecutive months of declines, tightening price motion, and indicators that promoting strain could also be exhausting itself. However, he cautioned that the market surroundings has modified dramatically since XRP was “a micro‑cap token.
In 2017, XRP’s complete market worth was much less than $300 million. Daodu identified that at that stage, even a few hundred million {dollars} in new capital would possibly raise the price by 1000’s of proportion factors.
Today, XRP has a market capitalization of about $88 billion. According to the analyst, this scale makes a 60,000% surge nearly inconceivable beneath any lifelike market situations.
250% Rally Still In Play
A comparable rally would indicate a transfer to roughly $852 per token. With roughly 58 billion XRP in circulation, that might translate to a market capitalization exceeding $49 trillion — more than the mixed worth of all shares listed on the New York Stock Exchange.
Still, Daodu argues that whereas a repeat of the 2017 explosion is off the desk, a significant restoration stays within attain if the bottoming sample holds.
A return to XRP’s July 2025 high of $3.65 would symbolize a gain of about 157% from present ranges. A transfer towards $5 — close to the higher vary of analyst forecasts for 2026 — would quantity to a 252% increase.
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Even more conservative projections recommend room for upside. Standard Chartered not too long ago lowered its XRP goal by 65%, citing close to‑time period headwinds, however its revised forecast of $2.80 would nonetheless indicate a roughly 97% rise from present trading costs.
The key distinction on this cycle, based on Daodu, lies within the source of demand. The explosive rally of 2017 was largely pushed by retail hypothesis.
In distinction, any substantial positive aspects this time would probably rely on institutional flows, together with potential exchange‑traded fund (ETF) inflows, broader institutional adoption, and a restoration throughout the broader crypto market.
While one other 60,000% run is unrealistic, Daodu believes a 150% to 250% advance is achievable if momentum shifts and capital returns to the sector.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
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