XRP Price Retests Decade-Old Trendline That | XRP News
The XRP price returned to a technical stage that, traditionally, has outlined some of its most explosive rallies. After enduring a sharp 62% correction that culminated in a drop towards $1.10 on February 6, the token is as soon as again testing its long-term ascending assist trendline.
Amid this, the broader crypto market has proven indicators of restoration this week, offering some reduction. On Wednesday, the XRP price rebounded roughly 6%, whereas Bitcoin (BTC) climbed back above the important $70,000 stage, restoring a measure of optimism throughout risk belongings regardless of ongoing international tensions.
Historic XRP Price Support
In a Wednesday report, market analyst Sam Daodu identified that the XRP price is sitting on the identical rising trendline that has traditionally preceded dramatic upside strikes — together with a 630% rally in 2024 and an extraordinary surge of more than 60,000% in 2017.
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What makes this retest totally different, Daodu famous, is that it’s taking place for the primary time with a totally established spot XRP Exchange-traded fund (ETF) infrastructure behind it.
Since their launch in November 2025, US spot XRP exchange-traded funds have attracted $1.24 billion in cumulative inflows over 4 consecutive constructive months. Approximately 797 million XRP at the moment are held in ETF custody.
At the identical time, institutional wallets gathered an further 170 million XRP during the newest price dip. Ripple additionally re-locked 700 million XRP into escrow on March 1, sustaining its customary release cycle and limiting new provide from coming into the market.
March seasonality provides one other layer to the setup. Over the previous 12 years, XRP has delivered an average return of 18% in March, making it statistically the strongest month of the primary quarter.
$4 Target Emerges
From a technical standpoint, the $1.27 stage represents the primary space of assist to monitor. It aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement stage and has served as a bear market flooring all through the correction.
Below that, the $1.10–$1.11 zone marks the exact location of the long-term ascending trendline that held in February. A decisive break beneath $1.10 would signify the primary failure of this channel since 2015 and will expose the XRP price to a deeper pullback towards $0.85–$1.00.
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On the upside, $1.47 stands as the closest Fibonacci resistance, adopted carefully by the $1.50 neckline of the double backside. A sustained close above $1.50 would affirm the sample and project a transfer towards $1.68–$1.70.
Beyond that vary, on-chain knowledge exhibits roughly 1.85 billion XRP gathered between $1.76 and $1.80, a zone the place holders might look to exit at breakeven, doubtlessly creating substantial resistance.
The most vital provide cluster lies between $2.40 and $2.60; a weekly close above that band would invalidate the broader descending construction and signal a more decisive trend reversal.
Combining historic March power, capitulation indicators, and structural provide constraints, Daodu suggests the XRP price may doubtlessly attain a vary between $2.50 and $4.00 by late 2026.
Featured image from OpenArt, chart from TradingView.com
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