Dollar decline to pick up pace as bearish bets set | Money News

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Dollar decline to pick up pace as bearish bets set – Money News

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Investing.com– The greenback’s decline appears set to pick up pace by year-end, ING economists warned in latest report, pressured by the Federal Reserve resuming its rate-cutting cycle and resilient risk urge for food.

“Investors now welcome a 125-150 basis point Fed easing cycle without obvious signs of an impending US recession,” the economists stated. “We think consensus is right to look for a weaker dollar into year-end as the Fed restarts its easing.”

After a comfortable US jobs report in July, currency markets have taken a glass-half-full view, anticipating a benign greenback sell-off supported by a steepening US yield curve and constructive equity markets. ING forecasts EUR/USD pushing up to 1.20 by year-end on seasonal greenback weak spot mixed with three anticipated Fed price cuts.

The outlook offsets worries from tariffs and bond market jitters, suggesting financial coverage stays a pressure in G10 FX valuations. The Australian greenback and sterling are positioned to maintain latest positive aspects, whereas the yen faces dangers from shifting management in Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party and potential adjustments in Bank of Japan coverage.

In rising markets, China’s CNY/USD has risen amidst low volatility, however tariffs and political tensions proceed to weigh on the Indian rupee, Indonesian rupiah, and PHP/USD. Latin American currencies ought to keep buoyed given their enticing yields, whereas the Czech koruna’s positive aspects look more sustainable than Hungary’s forint, which primarily advantages from carry demand.

As the Fed is set to start its rate-cutting cycle, the greenback is probably going to stay the doldrums, the economists recommend, favoring a risk-on atmosphere that helps growth and activity-linked currencies even as the US faces advanced headwinds.

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