XRP Sees Intense Capitulation As Profit-To-Loss | XRP News

As the XRP price makes an attempt to rebound from its latest lows, Glassnode has shared key on-chain metrics pointing to weakening momentum and “intense capitulation.”

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XRP Profit/Loss Ratio Falls To Lowest Levels Since 2024

On Tuesday, market intelligence platform Glassnode revealed that XRP is flashing warning alerts, with key on-chain indicators pointing to widespread capitulation and lowering community exercise.

In an X post, Glassnode researchers highlighted that the 90-day shifting average (MA) of the altcoin’s Realized Profit-to-Loss Ratio has fallen to an space traditionally related to deeper downtrends and intervals of market capitulation.

Notably, the important thing metric has dropped to 0.38, its lowest degree since 2024, which means that for each greenback of losses realized within the market, solely 38 cents in revenue are being taken. This marks a vital reversal from the 2025 peak, when the ratio surged to 50, indicating profit-takers outpaced loss-sellers by a issue of 50.

That dynamic has now absolutely inverted, Glassnode affirmed, including that a ratio this low suggests that almost all individuals shifting XRP are exiting their positions at a loss, which is “a hallmark of intense capitulation.”

In addition, the blockchain analytics firm identified that community exercise has declined considerably. According to the information, the 90-day average of complete transaction charges paid on the XRP community has fallen from 5,900 XRP in February 2025 to only 500 XRP, representing a 91.5% drop.

“A drop of this magnitude is not a fee market adjustment. It reflects a near-total contraction in organic transaction demand on the network since the speculative peak,” Glassnode affirmed.

The drop in these indicators suggests investor confidence has weakened, and the market has shifted to decreased speculative urge for food with subdued participation.

Is XRP’s Bottom Near?

Over the previous two weeks, XRP’s price has retraced practically 15%, falling to its lowest ranges since November 2024. Amid this efficiency, analyst ChartNerd famous that the cryptocurrency’s bear markets have traditionally lasted 400-790 days with 85-96% drops.

Currently, the altcoin has solely corrected for about 350 days, with a 71% retracement from the July highs. However, “the duration and % depth of these bears are diminishing over time; therefore, the territory for marking a historical bottom between now and EOY is fast approaching,” he said.

He additionally noticed that the altcoin closed beneath its 200-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) final week, which may additionally signal that the underside could also be on the horizon. As he defined, during prior cycles, a structural backside shaped between 8 and 29 weeks after the primary weekly close beneath this SMA, suggesting that XRP may start forming its backside within the coming months, if historical past repeats.

Meanwhile, market watcher Ali Martinez famous that XRP could possibly be mirroring the identical sample it has repeated since 2018, as it might be approaching its largest shopping for zone within the final eight years.

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“For nearly a decade, every touch of this rising trendline has marked a major turning point, sending XRP back toward the $3 resistance,” the analyst said, including that the cryptocurrency is at present approaching this trendline again, with help sitting between the $0.70 and $0.90 ranges.

If this zone holds, a rally back to $3 turns into “a realistic scenario.” Moreover, if XRP lastly breaks above the eight-year resistance, round $3.30, the following macro goal could also be between $8 and $13, the analyst concluded.

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com